Freedom Is Not Free: What Happens When the State Comes for the Lawyer, Not Just the Client

592 GUARDIAN◊ACCOUNTABILITY◊INTEGRITY IN JOURNALISM◊GUYANA

Freedom Is Not Free: What Happens When the State Comes for the Lawyer, Not Just the Client


OPINION BY: Hem Kumar September 2026

On September 2, a Chinese lawyer named Ruth Wang arrived at Taoyuan International Airport in Taiwan with her husband and two young children, carrying little more than the knowledge that she could not go home. Her offense was never framed as a crime. No court charged her, no warrant named her. Her firm was simply told to dissolve, or be dissolved. Her mentor’s law license had already been revoked. Her colleagues had been suspended from practice for six months. The message required no indictment to be understood: stop representing Zion Church, or stop practicing law.

Wang’s case is worth sitting with — not only because it is a grave violation of religious freedom, which it plainly is, but because of where the state chose to apply pressure. Beijing did not simply prosecute the believers. It went after the people defending them.

That distinction is the whole story, and it is a pattern accountability journalists should learn to recognize wherever it appears, in whatever calibration a given system permits.

The Church, the Crackdown, the Deal

Zion Church is one of China’s most prominent unregistered Protestant congregations — a “house church” operating outside the state-sanctioned Three-Self Patriotic Movement that Beijing uses to keep Christianity under Communist Party supervision. In October 2025, Chinese authorities conducted one of the largest single-church crackdowns in decades, detaining more than twenty members and formally arresting eighteen, including founding pastor Ezra Jin.         Jin’s case eventually became a diplomatic bargaining chip. He was released this past July, after nine months in custody, following direct intervention by the Trump administration — reportedly raised personally with Xi Jinping. He is now believed to be in the United States with family.

But diplomacy freed one man. It did not free the church. Eight of Jin’s co-workers remain detained at Beihai Detention Center in Guangxi: pastors Wang Lin, Gao Yingjia, Yin Huibin, Liu Zhenbin, Lin Shucheng, and Wang Cong, elder Wang Zhong, and church worker Wu Qiuyu. Their release required no presidential phone call, because they had no equivalent leverage.

This is the quieter cruelty embedded in high-level diplomatic rescues: they tend to reach exactly as far as international attention does, and no farther.

Criminalizing the Defense

It is against this backdrop that Ruth Wang’s flight matters most. She was not a defendant. She was defense counsel — a partner at Beijing’s VDoor Law Firm, part of the legal team representing Zion Church figures since the arrests began. Her mentor, Zhang Kai, had his license revoked and was barred from leaving the country. Other VDoor lawyers were suspended from practice. When some tried to move to different firms, they were blocked from doing that too. Judicial authorities did not merely discourage the representation — they ordered the lawyers off the case and off the firm altogether.

This is what it looks like when a state decides that the right to counsel is itself the threat. Beijing did not need to convict Ruth Wang of anything. It needed only to make continuing her work impossible, and let the professional consequences do what a courtroom did not have to.

Even Wang’s escape carries the same lesson. Taiwan gave her “temporary accommodation” but was explicit that it cannot grant political asylum to mainland Chinese citizens — a bind produced entirely by cross-strait politics that have nothing to do with her case. She is now appealing to the United States or Canada for resettlement, a woman and her children rendered stateless not because she broke a law, but because she practiced one.

The Machinery Beneath the Headline

Wang’s case did not emerge in isolation. It sits atop a rapidly hardening legal architecture. On January 1, 2026, revisions to China’s Public Security Administration Punishment Law took effect, and for the first time explicitly listed “illegal religious activities” as grounds for administrative detention — five to fifteen days, plus fines, imposed without the safeguards of a criminal trial.

Administrative detention is a useful tool for a state that wants punishment without due process: it is fast, deniable, and difficult to appeal.

In the first half of 2026, more than a dozen Chinese cities built enforcement infrastructure on top of that legal foundation — infrastructure that depends not on police work, but on citizens turning on each other. In Yunnan’s Honghe prefecture, authorities published 35 categories of reportable “illegal religious activity,” reaching into private homes, WeChat sermons, and unapproved religious education. In Qinghai’s Haidong prefecture, the reporting obligation was extended to hotels and travel agencies, conscripting private businesses into state surveillance of religious life. In Chengdu, the state began paying for it outright — up to 800 RMB, roughly $120, for a verified tip.

None of this requires banning religion outright. It only requires making the administrative cost of practicing it, or defending someone who does, high enough that self-policing accomplishes what mass arrests once did.

That is the actual mechanism of “Sinicization”: not the abolition of faith, but its confinement to whatever narrow space the state finds convenient to permit today and can revoke tomorrow.

 Freedom Is Not Free

There is a version of this story that ends at outrage over religious persecution, and that version would already be worth telling. But the sharper accountability point is this: authoritarian systems rarely attack a right in the open. They attack the people who make the right usable — the lawyer willing to file the brief, the pastor willing to preach, the witness willing to talk. Punish the defenders, and the right survives on paper while dying in practice. Beijing can continue insisting, accurately in the narrowest technical sense, that its citizens are free to worship.

It is simply no longer true that they are free to be defended for doing so.

This is not a uniquely Chinese phenomenon, and it is not always this visible. Where a government’s institutions are large and its media loud, pressure on legal representation shows up as license revocations and firm closures, because the state does not fear being watched. Where institutions are smaller, more personal, and more easily obscured from public view, the same pressure can move quieter — through professional or employment consequences for a lawyer’s associates, never officially tied to the case, never confirmed on the record, and therefore never required to answer for itself.

The mechanism is the same. Only the visibility differs, and visibility is precisely what determines whether the public ever gets to hold anyone accountable for it.

That is the throughline worth carrying past this single case: freedom of religion, freedom of counsel, freedom of the press — none of them are self-executing. They exist only as far as someone is willing to exercise them, and stay standing only as long as someone else is willing to defend the ones who do. Ruth Wang’s children do not yet have a country.

That is the price this particular defense cost. Readers who take comfort in distance from Beijing’s methods should ask, plainly, whether they would still recognize the same mechanism if it arrived without a press release.

— The Board

THE SEQUENCE REVERSED

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THE SEQUENCE REVERSED


OPINION BY: Hem Kumar September 2026

How Guyana’s Institutions Disclose Only Under Pressure — And What That Means for the $800M GPL Ask

When President Irfaan Ali stood at his office on Shiv Chanderpaul Drive this week and told reporters that fixing Guyana’s electricity grid “is not a short-term fix” and requires “major investments,” he was asking the public to accept a figure — reportedly in the range of US$800 million — without the one thing that would make it verifiable: an itemized accounting of what the money is for, and evidence that the demand crisis it answers was not, in part, manufactured by the absence of the very oversight now being invoked to justify it.

This newsroom  does not allege that it was. We do not yet have the evidence to make that claim, and we are not in the business of asserting what we cannot document. But we have, over recent months, documented something adjacent and arguably more damning: a governing pattern, repeated across at least three unconnected sectors, in which Guyanese regulatory and state institutions act first and disclose later — if they disclose at all — and only when forced to by outside pressure.

That pattern is now the relevant context for evaluating GPL’s numbers, whether or not this specific expenditure fits it.

THE PATTERN, DOCUMENTED

Start with the Environmental Protection Agency and the Kurupung uranium project, a case this newsroom has tracked in detail since earlier this year.

The EPA Act requires, under Part IV, that where a project’s environmental effects are unclear, the agency must publish a reasoned decision on whether a full Environmental Impact Assessment is needed; before other approvals proceed and must give affected persons an opportunity to appeal that decision. In the case of U92 Energy Corp.‘s uranium exploration license at Kurupung, the EPA did not follow that sequence. It issued an Environmental Management Plan to the project’s local subsidiary before conducting the Section 11(2) screening that was supposed to determine whether an EIA was required in the first place. Dr. Vincent Adams, the EPA’s own former Executive Director, has called this what it is: the agency had the process backwards, and having already issued the EMP out of sequence, it is now unclear whether; or how — the agency can unwind it.

The Section 11(2) notice was eventually published. But by the company’s own account, only after sustained pressure from the Amerindian Peoples Association, from Dr. Adams, and from this newsroom’s reporting. And when the notice finally came, it made no mention of a hazard the project’s own consultants had already put in writing two months earlier: 88,000 meters of historic drill core containing radioactive material — stored on-site “several times” moved, and, in the words of the company’s own qualified-person report, in need of relocation to “a safer, adequate facility” because the current storage is not adequate. The EPA exempted the project from a full EIA anyway, reasoning that containment would be “secure” under an approved plan — a conclusion contradicted, on the record, by the applicant’s own admission.

Disclosure came late. It came incomplete. And it came only under pressure.

The same shape appears, in starker and now precisely dated form, at the Wales Gas-to-Energy project. On April 7, 2026, Prime Minister Mark Phillips was asked whether secret payments had been made to the project’s contractor, Lindsayca-CH4, arising from a Dispute Avoidance and Adjudication Board ruling. His answer, on the record, was unambiguous — and wrong on every count . “There are no secret payments made to the contractor,” he said. “The parties have not advanced the arbitration process and as such there is no arbitration ruling… It is therefore incorrect to suggest that the GoG has lost the arbitration.”

Four distinct claims, in a single statement: no payments, no advanced arbitration, no ruling, no loss.

Five weeks later, on May 18, the Prime Minister admitted the opposite of all four. The Government and Lindsayca Guyana Inc. had, he confirmed, reached a settlement on two matters the DAAB had decided in January 2025 — soil stabilisation works at the Wales site, and delay-related provisions. The settlement, he said, represented “a 12.8 per cent increase over the original contract sum of US$759M.” Twelve-point-eight per cent of a project this large is a figure calculated to sound modest. It is, in plain terms, US$97 million.

This was not a case of facts emerging gradually, or a government catching up to a fast-moving story. This was a Prime Minister denying, specifically and repeatedly, that an adjudication had occurred — for over a month, until the position became impossible to sustain. Even in reversing himself, he chose a percentage over a dollar figure, a framing this news-media agrees made a nine-figure liability to Guyanese taxpayers sound, in his own words, like something less than it was.

That the arbitration existed at all should not have been a surprise inside government. This newsroom’s own April Watchdog series had already documented that the project’s consortium registered a UK limited liability partnership, Lindsayca Development LLP, fourteen days before the contract was signed in Georgetown — a structure that allowed the contractor to invoke the 1989 UK-Guyana Bilateral Investment Treaty and route disputes to the DAAB rather than Guyana’s own courts. The pathway to arbitration was built into the contract’s architecture from the start.

The Prime Minister’s April 7 denial that any ruling existed was not a matter of him lacking information the public also lacked — it was a denial of a process his own government’s contract had made available from day one.

Kaieteur News’s editorial board did not let the episode pass quietly, writing that the Prime Minister “collapsed miserably,” and asking of his choice to frame US$97 million as “12.8 per cent”: “What was so hard about saying that from the inception?”

And it appears again, structurally, in the very contract now central to this week’s story: GPL’s sole-source arrangement with InterEnergy, the consultancy whose report is being used to justify the $800 million ask. A sole-source contract is, by definition, one that bypasses the competitive disclosure a tender process would otherwise force.

This newsroom is not asking GPL and InterEnergy to answer us privately. We are asking them to publish — as a matter of public record, not correspondence — the underlying findings the President has invoked. Guyanese citizens who will carry this cost are entitled to read the same report the President is summarizing for them.

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR THE $800 MILLION

None of this proves that GPL’s transmission and distribution networks are not genuinely strained, or that new investment is not needed — the strain described by GPL’s Kesh Nandlall, with feeders overloading and transformers under stress, may well be real. Nor does it prove that InterEnergy’s recommendations are wrong on their engineering merits.

What it does establish is this: in each of the three cases above, the public was asked to trust a process it could not see, and was given the facts; if it was given them at all; only after the point at which they could have changed the outcome, or after the money was already moving. The EPA’s screening notice came after the EMP was already issued. The US$97 million Wales settlement was denied outright by the Prime Minister, in specific and repeated terms, for five weeks — even though the arbitration pathway had been built into the contract’s structure from the start. And GPL’s own numbers — a peak demand of 257 megawatts against 265.6 megawatts of installed capacity, a margin of roughly 3 percent — were offered by GPL itself as evidence of “enough generating capacity,” in the same breath used to justify a request for hundreds of millions of dollars because the distribution network cannot carry that capacity to consumers.

The public has not been shown the demand-growth data behind InterEnergy’s projections. It has not been shown an itemized breakdown of what portion of $800 million goes to generation, what portion to transmission, what portion to the “smart metering and digitising” line item, and what portion to the “independent grid reliability taskforce” InterEnergy itself recommended — a taskforce that does not yet appear to exist.

This publication calls on GPL and InterEnergy to publish, in full, the report underlying President Ali’s remarks this week — not a summary, not a press briefing, but the document itself, including the demand-growth data and the itemized investment breakdown it contains. The President told reporters this is “not a short-term fix” and that “we have to hold people accountable in this process.”

Accountability requires a record the public can read. We are asking for nothing more than that.

Guyana has now seen what happens when a government denies first and admits later: a US$97 million liability the Prime Minister flatly denied existed, for five weeks, before confirming it in a phrasing designed to minimize it. The $800 million ask does not have to follow the same sequence. It can be published first.

 — The Board

THE SURVEILLANCE NO ONE VOTED FOR

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THE SURVEILLANCE NO ONE VOTED FOR


OPINION BY: Hem Kumar September 2026

Twenty-five years after 9/11, Guyana’s banks have out-paranoided the PATRIOT Act — and no regulator required it

Twenty-five years ago this month, nineteen men turned commercial aircraft into weapons and murdered nearly three thousand people on American soil. Nothing written here disputes the scale of that grief, or the legitimacy of a state’s obligation to prevent its recurrence. But grief is not a blank check, and in 2001 Congress wrote one anyway. The USA PATRIOT Act passed both chambers and reached the President’s desk in six weeks — a bill that, as the Cato Institute’s Robert A. Levy observed at the time, moved through Congress faster than routine legislation raising no constitutional concerns, while gutting large sections of the Fourth Amendment.

Twenty-five years on, the law’s financial-surveillance architecture — expanded Know-Your-Customer mandates, a widened net of obligated institutions, and Section 314(a) information-sharing that lets federal agencies map a citizen’s entire banking footprint without a warrant, a subpoena, or a grand jury — is no longer used chiefly against terrorists. It has been redirected at immigrants and, this year, at protest movements, exactly as critics warned a permanent security state eventually would.

The American reckoning with that law is, at least, a live public argument. Reporters file to it. Cato writes about it. Talking Points Memo can publish an investigation into Homeland Security Investigations using Section 314(a) to surveil left-leaning organizing, and the story finds an audience prepared to be outraged.

Guyana has no equivalent public reckoning, because Guyana has no equivalent public knowledge of what its banks are actually doing — and this editorial exists to begin correcting that.

THE TRANSACTION THAT SHOULD NOT REQUIRE AN INTERROGATION

Here is the fact pattern, stated plainly, because plain facts are the strongest indictment available: a Guyanese customer sought a bank cheque. The funds were the customer’s own, already on deposit, already known to the institution, already accounted for on its books. There was no cash coming in from an unverified source. There was no foreign wire of uncertain origin.

There was, in the plainest sense available to a bank’s own compliance framework, no open question about where the money came from — the bank was already holding it.

The bank nonetheless demanded photo identification for the payee — a person who is not the bank’s customer, has no account relationship with the institution, and was not a party to any transaction the bank needed to evaluate for risk. The customer, whose funds and whose conduct are the actual subject of the transaction, is the one who is already fully documented, fully known, and fully compliant. The payee’s identity adds nothing to any legitimate assessment of that transaction’s risk. It cannot, because the money’s provenance was never in question.

This is not risk-based due diligence. Risk-based due diligence calibrates scrutiny to the actual uncertainty in a transaction — the FATF standard that Guyana’s own regulators claim to follow requires exactly that calibration, and explicitly warns against its opposite. This is something else: a reflexive demand for identification because demanding identification has become the institutional posture, regardless of whether the specific transaction in front of the teller presents any question that identification could answer.

NO ONE MADE THEM DO THIS

It would be a different editorial — a more familiar one — if Guyana’s banks could point to Basseterre, or to Paris, and say the FATF made them do it. That defense is not available to them. As of the June 2026 FATF plenary, Guyana is not on the Jurisdictions Under Increased Monitoring list. It is not grey-listed. It is not black-listed. It sits alongside the large majority of jurisdictions the FATF has not flagged for strategic AML-CFT deficiencies requiring international remediation.

This matters because the FATF’s own guidance is explicit that grey-listing is not an automatic trigger for enhanced due diligence, and that even where a jurisdiction is listed, the FATF discourages indiscriminate de-risking. In other words: even the architects of the global AML regime that grew out of America’s post-9/11 panic have had to formally warn financial institutions against exactly the behavior Guyanese banks are now engaged in — applying scrutiny with no proportion to actual risk.

Guyana’s banks are not merely over-complying with an international standard under pressure. They are manufacturing a standard that does not exist, on a jurisdiction that is not under the monitoring that would purport to justify it.

Two explanations remain, and neither reflects well on the institutions involved. Either this is a defensive posture; a bank inventing friction it can point to later as evidence of vigilance, at the direct expense of a customer’s time and a non-customer’s privacy, regardless of whether the friction accomplishes anything — or it is a Bank of Guyana-driven KYC requirement applied without the risk-calibration the framework itself demands, sweeping in payees who are not parties to any suspicious conduct because it is administratively simpler than assessing each transaction on its merits.

Both are failures of governance. Neither is counterterrorism, or counter-laundering, or anything the Bank Secrecy Act’s original 1970 drafters, or the PATRIOT Act’s 2001 authors, would recognize as their purpose.

THE PATTERN AMERICA IS ONLY NOW QUESTIONING

The lineage matters, and it is not flattering. Financial surveillance in the West did not begin with terrorism. It began with tax evasion, then annexed the war on drugs, then annexed counterterrorism after September 11, and is now — a quarter century later, in the same country that wrote the PATRIOT Act — annexing immigration enforcement and the policing of protest. Treasury’s recent directive requiring banks to report suspected undocumented immigrants, and Homeland Security Investigations’ use of Section 314(a) to map the finances of protest organizations without judicial process, are not aberrations from the system’s design.

They are what a permanent, expandable surveillance infrastructure does when the original justification runs out and a new one is needed to keep it staffed and funded.

Guyana should study that trajectory with more urgency than it currently does, because small states adopt these architectures with none of the institutional friction that at least slows the process in Washington. There is no Cato Institute publishing a dissent from the Bank of Guyana’s compliance posture. There is no investigative outlet with the resources of Talking Points Memo cataloguing which agencies request customer data and why. There is, in most cases, no statute a customer can cite back to a teller who has just demanded a stranger’s photo ID for a transaction the bank’s own records show presents no risk at all.

The asymmetry of power between an ordinary depositor and an institution that can simply say “regulations require it” — whether or not any regulation actually does — is the entire story, and it is a story Guyana’s banking public has had no occasion to hear told plainly.

WHAT ACCOUNTABILITY REQUIRES

This is not an argument against know-your-customer obligations, anti-money-laundering law, or the legitimate function of financial-crime enforcement. It is an argument that those obligations exist to answer specific questions about specific risks, and that a bank which cannot say what risk a payee’s photo ID resolves in a transaction it has already verified is not practicing compliance.

It is practicing theater, and billing the public for the performance in wasted time, needless friction, and the quiet normalization of surveillance for its own sake.

The twenty-fifth anniversary of September 11 is an appropriate moment for the United States to ask whether the architecture Congress built in six weeks of 2001 still serves the purpose it was built for.

It is an equally appropriate moment for Guyana to ask a simpler and more answerable question: when a bank cannot show that a specific demand for identification actually resolves a specific question of risk, on whose authority — and for whose benefit — was that identification ever required?

The 592 Guardian has posed that question to the institutions concerned. It should not require an editorial to get an answer.

— The Board

Ali on Exxon contract: lopsided -Pt II

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Ali on Exxon contract: lopsided -Pt II


OPINION BY: GHK LALL –September 2026

GHK LALL.

In 2023, Pres Ali described the Exxon contract as “lopsided”, according to Stabroek News.  In 2024, Pres Ali told the New York Times that Exxon got “the better hand of the deal.”  In 2026, Pres Ali traveled to the ends of the earth to Al-Jazeera, and when questioned whether his government position that that the Exxon contract is a bad deal, he was tightlipped: “yeah, we do.”  He grew bold, found a kicker: it “never” was “a good deal.”  

In raw terms, “lopsided” can be defined as so leaning to one side that there’s danger of capsizing.  The MV Barima killed over 100 Guyanese when it capsized, with many of the destroyed still unknown.  Exxon’s contract is so “lopsided” to use Ali’s own word, it has capsized and killed the hopes of Guyanese.  The grievously wounded unknowns are future generations of Guyanese.  When anyone declares something as lopsided, it’s clear that danger is recognized. 

The destructive potential of that presence is palpable.  Danger threatens.  Yet, there’s sitting on hands, and sword fencing taking over.

In his Al-Jazeera exchange, Ali soft-pedalled the ugliness of Exxon’s Guyana contract.  It’s not “a good deal.”  Lame and a shame.  There is nothing good about the deal; therefore, there’s an obligation to say it unambiguously: the Exxon contract is bad, it stinks.  Its stench sticks to those in Exxon who sell locals their defective goods.  Exxon is a true partner to Guyanese.  Then, why the resistance to sitting at the table of renegotiation?  Why even have the clause that allows such opportunity?  Why leave Guyana’s president with the indignity of feeling for innocuous words that cloud the diabolical machinations behind the contract?  Why compel to make an international spectacle of himself (and Guyanese) with his shifting to evade lashing the Exxon contract as a noose around Guyanese necks.  The Exxon men from Texas should know noose.  It lynches this country and its peoples.

Exxon had the “better hand of the deal” was what Dr. Ali told the New York Times.  The PPP used to rail and rage against the Exxon contract.  But its conversion to Exxon religion has its leaders, like Mr. Ali, soft-soaping and sugarcoating and sweetly sanitizing the same contract that they had damned as among the worst ever.  It is a giveaway when leaders start using wimp language, begin adopting limp postures, with a document they had denounced before as a horror to nation and nationals.  The Exxon contract is healthy or deadly for Guyanese.  It’s fair or it’s foul for Guyanese.  It is right or should be kicked out of sight for Guyanese.  None of this touchy-feely lavender-like language that is about don’t upset Exxon whatever is said or done.  Also, be careful who it is said to, and how.

When a leader has lost the national script, he or she has lost utility.  When a leader has lost his way, only to relocate himself on the side of predators, then its time that Guyanese see him for who he is and give up on him.  When Ali speaks as he does, and slides as he does, it is as if Lords Alistair Routledge and Darren Woods operate as de facto presidents of Guyana.  Except that they have the smarts to use Excellency Ali as their proxy, and speak through him. 

It’s more than a public partnership.  It’s a public twin.  Might be more accurate to name that a public triplet.  All for one, and one for all. 

Hence, a contract that is bad on its face (a deformity from deformed minds), bad in its character (vile and depraved), and bad in its objectives (to strangle the Guyanese people) survives and grows in strength.  Thanks to wishy-words, slack mouthed jawing, and still claiming the mantle of being for Guyanese.  Lopsided is many-sided, all of them treacherous.

How President Ali Answered a Question About Parliament With an Attack on One Man

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 The Substitution: How President Ali Answered a Question About Parliament With an Attack on One Man


OPINION BY: Hem Kumar –September 2026

A reading of the President’s Al Jazeera interview against Guyana’s own parliamentary record


Image from Kiskadee Watch-FB

In an interview broadcast on Al Jazeera, President Irfaan Ali was asked a direct institutional question: given that his political opposition is accusing the administration of mismanagement and a lack of transparency over where oil revenues are going, how does he answer citizens who feel the wealth is bypassing them entirely? The question named no individual. It named a category — “your opposition” — doing what oppositions in a functioning democracy exist to do.

The President’s answer did not begin with an account of that scrutiny. It began by narrowing the category to a person, and disqualifying him: the opposition leader, he said, is sanctioned by the United States Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control, and had been “long before he was even an opposition leader.”

“I want to address that accusation for a moment. First of all, you know that we have an opposition where the opposition leader is sanctioned by the United States, OFAC sanctioned, and that is long before he was even an opposition leader.”

A QUESTION ABOUT AN INSTITUTION, ANSWERED AS A QUESTION ABOUT A MAN

This is worth being precise about, because the move is easy to miss if the pivot is read as ordinary political deflection. It is not that. A deflection changes the subject. What happened here is narrower and more calculated: the President took a question about a plural, institutional actor — Parliament’s opposition benches, the accountability function they perform — and substituted a single sanctioned individual for it, as though one man’s US sanction status could stand in for, and dispose of, a question about the transparency of a national oil fund.

An opposition’s right to demand transparency does not rise or fall on the sanction status of any one member of it. Guyana’s Parliament has an Opposition Leader, but it also has a Public Accounts Committee, backbenchers, motions, and a constitutional scrutiny function that exists independently of who leads it.

To answer “your opposition is accusing you of mismanagement” with “the opposition leader is OFAC-sanctioned” is not a rebuttal of the accusation. It is a refusal to engage with it, dressed as one.

THE TRANSPARENCY CLAIM HE DID MAKE

Only after that substitution did the President offer his actual defence: that oil and gas revenue flows into the Natural Resource Fund, that the Finance Minister discloses what comes in, that spending is utilised “through the national budget” via “a parliamentary process where every single person is aware of what the resources are used for,” and that the fund is subsequently audited by the Auditor General.

“It goes through the parliamentary process, then it’s audited by the Auditor General. So in terms of transparency and the use of the oil and gas revenue, there’s a clear system.”

This is the claim that can actually be tested — and it does not survive contact with Parliament’s own published sittings record.

WHAT THE SITTINGS RECORD SHOWS

The 13th Parliament convened on November 3, 2025. By the end of August 2026; nearly 300 days later — the official sittings index recorded only four dated sittings, plus a fifth entry with no date attached at all. The first was for the swearing-in of members. The second, third, and fourth were each titled “Budget Presentation 2026.” By comparison, the 10th, 11th, and 12th Parliaments each held between 29 and 35 sittings over a comparable span of their terms.

The Guyana Development Bank Bill — a piece of legislation concentrating roughly $40 billion in lending discretion in the hands of the Finance Minister, with board appointments made solely at his discretion and no opposition or civil-society nominee requirement — was tabled at the June 5, 2026 sitting and passed on July 27, 2026. It does not appear as a dated entry in Parliament’s own official sittings index. Kaieteur News reported that when it came up for second reading and passage, it passed without debate: opposition MPs were on the floor protesting ministers Edghill and Indar’s refusal to resign over the MV Barima ferry disaster, the government side offered no response to that protest, and the Speaker suspended the sitting twice for disorder. Government backbenchers spoke on the Bill uncontested while the opposition benches were occupied by grief and a resignation demand the government did not answer.

This is what “the parliamentary process” the President described actually produced on the one occasion, within the sittings record available, that a major financial bill came to a vote: a sitting not listed by date, a bill passed without opposition argument, and a chamber where the accountability function he invoked in his own defence was, in that moment, not functioning at all.

THE COMMITTEE THAT CANNOT MEET

The Public Accounts Committee — Parliament’s standing mechanism for scrutinising exactly the audited expenditure the President cited — has not achieved quorum in years, a persistent absence tied to the governing party’s own members declining to attend.

An audited system that nobody sits down to examine is not a transparency system. It is the appearance of one, maintained by an institution that has been allowed to go dormant.

THE PATTERN, NOT THE INCIDENT

None of this is isolated. It sits alongside a now-familiar sequence in this administration’s public accountability record: announcements of review, task forces, and self-regulation that are not followed by enforcement or by the institutional machinery — quorate committees, debated legislation, published vetting records — that would make the announcement mean something. The Al Jazeera interview adds a new data point to that pattern, not a new argument. What is new is the President’s own words supplying the clearest available illustration of the substitution at the heart of it: when the institutional question comes, the answer is a named, not the institution’s record.

WHAT WAS NOT ASKED

It should also be said plainly: the Al Jazeera interviewer did not put the sittings count, the Development Bank Bill’s passage, or the PAC’s quorum failure to the President directly. Nothing in the broadcast interview obliged him to reconcile his transparency claim with his own Parliament’s calendar.

That reconciliation is the work this piece has done instead — using the President’s own recorded words, and Guyana’s own published parliamentary record, side by side.

Sourcing note: Direct quotations above are drawn from the broadcast Al Jazeera interview with President Irfaan Ali. Parliamentary sittings figures are drawn from Parliament of Guyana’s official sittings index (parliament.gov.gy) and Kaieteur News reporting (July 28, 2026) on the July 27, 2026 sitting. PAC quorum status reflects The 592 Guardian’s standing coverage.

— The Board

A Pattern, Not Two Incidents: How MARAD and the GPF Are Both Exercising Authority Neither Was Given

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A Pattern, Not Two Incidents: How MARAD and the GPF Are Both Exercising Authority Neither Was Given


OPINION BY: Hem Kumar September 2026

Two institutions. Two separate justifications. One boat, one man, and — on close reading — a single underlying pattern: agencies of the state substituting their own discretion for the authority the law actually assigns elsewhere.

The license. MARAD’s Friday statement all but ruled out granting Azruddin Mohamed a captain’s license, invoking his US sanctions designation and pending extradition proceedings as evidence of disqualifying “character.” As this newsroom has already established, that argument does not survive contact with the Department’s own governing statute. The Guyana Shipping Act 1998 draws a clean, repeated line between the Minister responsible for shipping — who alone holds the power to make regulations under section 51, including on the examination, certification and discipline of skippers — and MARAD itself, whose delegated powers under section 9 expressly exclude “the power to make orders and regulations.” Cancellation of a seafarer’s certificate is, per the Act’s own table of contents, a matter of “Cancellation, etc., of certificate by Minister” (s.110), following a court recommendation (s.109), with a statutory right of appeal (s.111). MARAD is not the Minister. No regulation made under s.51 naming foreign sanctions or indictment as a disqualifying condition has been cited by the Department, because none appears to exist on the public record. What MARAD announced as compliance was, on the statute’s own architecture, policy; dressed in the language of law it does not have the standing to write.

The vessel. Ten days after two of Mohamed’s vehicles and his boat were taken into custody at Leonora, no resolution is in sight. One vehicle, PAB 4000, is held over an engine-number discrepancy that a senior GRA official — by Mohamed’s account to Kiskadee Watch — described as a likely “simple fix” the tax authority itself was not even aware of until he raised it directly. The boat’s status is murkier still: Mohamed says he has not been told what, if anything, is required of him to secure its release. What he has received, repeatedly, is a commander’s verbal assurance that the matter would be addressed “today, tomorrow.”

Article 142 of the Constitution permits property to be held only under the authority of a written law, carving out a narrow exception for property retained for the purposes of an active investigation. That exception exists to enable legitimate police work — not to function as an unreviewed, self-renewing hold with no defined evidentiary objective and no judicial instrument authorizing its continuation. Ten days of “today, tomorrow” from a single commanding officer, with no charge laid, no stated release conditions, and no indication the matter has been placed before a magistrate, is not an investigation with an endpoint.

It is custody exercised entirely at law enforcement’s own discretion — the Force acting simultaneously as seizing authority and as the sole judge of how long that seizure should last, a role the Constitution’s own design assigns to the judiciary, not to the police.

The throughline. Look at what MARAD and the GPF have in common in these two episodes, and the pattern stops looking like coincidence. In both cases, a state agency has reached for a discretionary, character-or-circumstance-based justification — “sanctioned character” on one hand, an open-ended “investigation” on the other; in place of a specific, citable legal instrument that would make its action lawful. In both cases, the authority actually needed to take the contested action belongs to a different institution entirely: a Ministerial regulation MARAD cannot write for itself; a judicial order the GPF has not sought.

And in both cases, the citizen affected is the same person, and the asset at the center of both disputes is the same boat — licensed to no one, in the custody of no defined process, its fate governed for now by administrative discretion rather than by the law either agency claims to be enforcing.

This is the deeper accountability problem the Mohamed matter exposes, independent of any view on the man himself or the merits of the US case against him. When agencies routinely reach past the powers actually assigned to them; MARAD into Ministerial regulation-making, the GPF into functions the Constitution reserves for judicial review; the result is a governing pattern where discretion substitutes for law whenever the state finds a particular outcome convenient.

That pattern does not stay confined to one man or one boat. It sets the operating precedent for how every future license, seizure, or investigative hold gets handled once institutional overreach goes unchallenged.

Formal questions this newsroom is putting to MARAD, the Guyana Police Force, and the Ministry responsible for shipping:

  1. Under what regulation made pursuant to section 51(b) or 51(g) of the Guyana Shipping Act does MARAD assert authority to treat foreign sanctions or indictment status as disqualifying for a boat operator’s license — and has the Minister issued any such regulation, published or otherwise?
  2. Under what specific statutory authority are Mohamed’s two vehicles and boat currently held, and has that authority been placed before a magistrate for review at any point during the ten days in custody?
  3. What documentation, if any, does the GPF require to release the boat, and why has MARAD’s licensing refusal and the GPF’s continued custody of the same vessel not been reconciled into a single, transparent institutional position?
  4. Can either agency produce a comparable case — another applicant, another seizure — handled under the same discretionary standard, to demonstrate this is a consistent rule rather than a standard applied to one man?

Until MARAD identifies the Ministerial instrument it claims to be enforcing, and until the GPF identifies the judicial instrument authorizing continued custody, both agencies are operating in the same territory: exercising power that belongs, by the law’s own design, to someone else.

— The Board

 

The Test of Power: Can Guyana Build Beyond Its Leaders?

592 GUARDIAN◊ACCOUNTABILITY◊INTEGRITY IN JOURNALISM◊GUYANA

The Test of Power: Can Guyana Build Beyond Its Leaders?


OPINION BY: Hem Kumar— September 2026

In a widely circulated opinion piece titled “The Courage to become Unnecessary” Kojo M. Parris has done something unusual in Guyanese public life: he has publicly and forcefully challenged a man he plainly admires, knows personally, and credits with consequential achievements.

He is not an opposition voice – he served under the Jagdeo presidency as Guyana’s Honorary Consul in South Africa . 

That takes courage. It is easier to criticize a political opponent than to question a friend; easier still to remain silent when proximity, history and personal regard make criticism uncomfortable. Parris has instead placed a difficult proposition before the country: that Bharrat Jagdeo’s extraordinary political gifts, and the centrality he has acquired in Guyana’s affairs, may now be contributing to the institutional weakness that threatens the country’s democratic future.

His essay- part personal memoir, part political autopsy; deserves to be read closely, and argued with closely, rather than filed under either “hit piece” or “hagiography.” It is neither. It is a friend’s brief against a friend, and that makes it worth taking seriously on its own terms.

The question he raises is fundamental: is Guyana building institutions strong enough to outlast its leaders, or a political order increasingly dependent on the authority, access and intervention of a few?

Credit where it is due

No serious assessment of Guyana’s contemporary political history can deny Jagdeo’s formidable abilities or his record of achievement.

He has been among the most consequential political figures of the post-1992 era. His political energy, tactical discipline, command of complex policy matters and international visibility are undeniable. The Low Carbon Development Strategy gave Guyana a distinctive voice in global climate discussions long before the country’s petroleum wealth transformed its economic prospects. His influence in placing Guyana at the centre of climate, forest and energy conversations is part of the national record.

There is also a serious argument that the PPP’s return to office after 1992 helped restore political confidence and social inclusion to many Indo-Guyanese communities that had experienced long periods of marginalisation. Indigenous communities, too, became more central to national political and development discourse, even though major questions remain about land rights, consultation, representation and the distribution of benefits.

Under the present PPP-C administration, President Irfaan Ali can fairly point to visible development: roads, bridges, housing, schools, hospitals, energy projects, expanding private investment, and a country moving at a pace that would have been difficult to imagine a decade ago. For many Guyanese, particularly those who have obtained employment, contracts, new housing, improved roads, scholarships, training or other opportunities, the government’s case is not abstract. Development has a physical presence in their communities and in their lives. That reality must be acknowledged.

The other side of progress

Yet development is not only measured by concrete, cranes, new vehicles, hotels or the velocity of construction.

It is also measured by whether a citizen can obtain a birth certificate, pension, land document, police response, utility connection, business approval or medical service without a political contact, an influential intermediary, a public appeal, or an appearance at a ministerial outreach.This is where Parris’s warning has force.

Ministerial outreaches can be useful. They take officials directly into communities, sometimes resolve long-standing cases and can give voice to citizens who feel ignored by distant offices. In a country with difficult geography, uneven access to services and communities far from Georgetown, no responsible observer should casually dismiss face-to-face government intervention.

But there is another interpretation.

If thousands of citizens must wait for a minister, President, Vice President or politically connected figure to visit their region before routine matters can be resolved, then the problem is larger than the individual case. It suggests that the normal machinery of the State is either too slow, too opaque, too inaccessible or too unresponsive.

Outreach should be an addition to a functioning public service—not a substitute for one.

“A modern State is not one that brings government closer only when the cameras arrive. It is one that works when no minister, no party official and no social-media influencer is present.”

Jagdeo, Ali and responsibility

The public debate cannot be confined to Bharrat Jagdeo alone.

President Ali is the elected head of government and head of state. Jagdeo is the Vice President and the PPP-C’s most powerful strategist and political operator. Their partnership is central to the administration’s direction, its achievements and its failures.

It is therefore neither fair nor credible to praise President Ali for the roads, hospitals, housing programmes, international investments and energy agenda, while isolating Jagdeo as responsible for governance failures. Nor is it reasonable to credit Jagdeo for the administration’s political and economic gains while treating the President as merely ceremonial when difficult questions arise. They govern in tandem. They must be judged in tandem.

If Jagdeo represents the political machinery and strategic centre of the government, Ali represents its constitutional face and executive authority. Where the system works, both are entitled to credit. Where institutions appear weak, decisions seem excessively centralised, agencies lack independence, or citizens believe access is more valuable than procedure, both bear responsibility. The issue is not whether Guyana needs strong leadership. In a rapidly changing petroleum economy, it plainly does.

The issue is whether strong leaders are strengthening the State—or whether the State is becoming increasingly dependent on strong leaders.

“If Jagdeo laid the foundations of a politics centered on access, President Ali has had six years to decide whether to dismantle that structure—or furnish it, enlarge it and call it modern governance.”

Oil, opportunity and inequality

Guyana is experiencing an economic transformation unlike any in its modern history. Oil revenues, foreign investment and construction have created new wealth, new businesses and new ambitions. That cannot be wished away, nor should it be condemned simply because it is uneven.

Foreign investment is not inherently exploitation. Private enterprise is not inherently corruption. Wealth creation is not inherently injustice. Guyana needs investors, engineers, contractors, financiers, builders, entrepreneurs and international partners. It needs jobs beyond the public sector, productive businesses, technology transfer, infrastructure and global markets.

But the country also needs to ask who is benefiting most, who is being left behind, and whether the new economy is deepening a divide between those with capital, contracts, land, connections and information—and those who have only their labor.

The concern is increasingly visible: a new class of politically connected or commercially advantaged beneficiaries is emerging alongside workers, pensioners, small vendors, farmers, public servants and young people who still struggle with rising prices, housing costs, food bills, transport, insecure employment and limited bargaining power.  

“What we are witnessing is the steady emergence of a stark two-tiered society: a privileged bourgeois class accumulating wealth and influence, alongside a growing proletariat left to bear the burdens of economic insecurity.”

That does not mean every successful businessperson is a crony, every contractor is corrupt, or every foreign company is an imperialist predator. Such language can obscure more than it reveals. But neither should the country accept a development model in which public wealth becomes private privilege, and national prosperity is celebrated through luxury consumption while working people cannot feel secure in their daily lives.

The real question is whether oil wealth is creating broad-based social mobility—or merely moving Guyana toward a sharper class hierarchy.

“Oil has not merely expanded Guyana’s economy; it is rapidly rearranging its class structure, rewarding those nearest to contracts, capital, land and political access while many workers struggle to keep pace with prices.”

The Jagan question

This is where the legacy of Dr. Cheddi Jagan becomes relevant. Jagan’s politics were rooted in workers, peasants, social justice, national independence and a suspicion of economic arrangements in which Guyanese labour and natural wealth served interests beyond Guyana. He believed political independence was incomplete if economic power remained concentrated in the hands of a privileged few or controlled from outside the country.

That legacy does not require Guyana to retreat from the world, reject foreign capital or romanticize poverty. A small state with major development needs cannot prosper through isolation. But it does require vigilance.

“Cheddi Jagan’s political inheritance was not hostility to development or foreign engagement. It was a conviction that development must serve national independence, working people and the many—not foreign capital and a locally connected few.”

Guyana must negotiate firmly, regulate competently, protect its environment, collect what is owed, train its people, defend labour standards, build local capacity and ensure that the revenues from its resources produce lasting public goods.

“Anti-imperialism in the twenty-first century need not mean isolation. It means negotiating from strength, demanding transparency, protecting sovereignty, and ensuring that foreign investment serves a Guyanese social contract.”

Hospitals, schools, water systems, energy security, housing, reliable roads, pensions, competitive wages, safer communities, independent institutions and dignified work must be the practical proof that oil belongs to the people.

If the new economy enriches a narrow circle while the wider society becomes more anxious, more indebted and more dependent on patronage, then the country will have betrayed not only Jagan’s social-democratic and nationalist inheritance, but the promise of oil itself.

“The oil boom must not become a conveyor belt from public wealth to private privilege.”

A debate Guyana needs

Parris’s article can be challenged. It should be challenged.

Some will argue that his account understates the scale of development now underway. Others will say it does not sufficiently recognise the obstacles faced by any government governing a divided society with an overstretched public service, inherited institutional weaknesses and a sudden oil boom. Some will contend that Jagdeo’s political force is precisely what has allowed Guyana to negotiate confidently on the international stage and avoid being overwhelmed by powerful foreign interests. Others will argue that such concentration of influence, regardless of the individual’s intentions, weakens ministers, civil servants, boards, regulators and Parliament.

Both sides deserve to be heard.

But no side should evade the core democratic question: can a citizen obtain fair treatment from the Guyanese State without being politically aligned, personally connected, publicly visible or fortunate enough to catch the attention of someone powerful?

That is the standard against which every government must be measured.

The Mandela challenge

Nelson Mandela understood that even the most beloved leader must eventually prove that the country he helped shape can stand without him. By leaving office after one term, when he could have remained, Mandela demonstrated that the health of a democracy matters more than the permanence of an individual.

Guyana’s leaders need not imitate Mandela’s history; no country’s journey is identical to another’s. But they can emulate the principle.

“The test of reform is not how efficiently the powerful can intervene; it is how rarely ordinary people need them to.”

Bharrat Jagdeo has the stature, experience and influence to help build a Guyana in which ministries function without rescue, public servants serve without fear, regulators act without political instruction, Parliament scrutinises without ritual, and citizens receive what is due to them without having to seek the favour of a leader. President Ali has the constitutional authority and the political opportunity to insist that this becomes the defining work of his presidency.

If the Jagdeo-Ali era leaves behind stronger institutions, more equal citizenship, a capable public service, broader prosperity and a politics less dependent on personal access, it will deserve lasting credit.

If it leaves behind a richer country but a weaker republic—one in which power remains concentrated, opportunity remains uneven and public confidence depends on who knows whom—then the oil boom will have failed its most important test.

“The highest form of political achievement is not to become indispensable. It is to make oneself unnecessary.”

That is the debate before Guyana.

We invite readers to join it: Has the country’s development model strengthened the State and widened opportunity, or has it made too many citizens more dependent on political access and elite connections? What specific reforms would ensure that Guyana’s resource wealth builds a republic that serves every citizen, regardless of race, region, class or party allegiance?

 

Ali: Exxon contract is bad -Pt I

592 GUARDIAN◊ACCOUNTABILITY◊INTEGRITY IN JOURNALISM◊GUYANA

Ali: Exxon contract is bad -Pt I


OPINION BY:GHK LALL– September 2026

Pres Ali had a moment of insight visit.  The Exxon contract is bad (“Ali again agrees Exxon contract was bad, but still rules out rejigging” -KW, Sept 14-2026).  Instead of half-hearted acknowledgement, the preference is to accept the president’s position as frank if not honest admission.

Not the first time that a PPP champion has come down negatively on Exxon’s tricky piece of paper, that 2016 death sentence delivered on Guyana.  At different times, different PPP heavies have blasted that same Exxon contract as ‘a tragedy’ and a ‘crime’ and much worse, if that could be believed. 

Does leaving a ‘crime’ unresolved makes it less of a crime on the Guyanese people?  Does fearing to touch it, distancing from it, gives it a sheen of righteousness? 

It was the same Pres Ali, who himself made big, bright, speeches of all that he was going to do to every contract.  It certainly had to include the biggest one of them all -Exxon’s contract.  Apparently, he since received a message from god: thou shalt not go near to the Exxon contract, thou shalt not think of doing so.  The power that spoke to Pres Ali is not overhead.  Its thrones are in Spring, Tx and Washington, DC.  Before Senora Delcy Rodriguez was put in handcuffs, Pres Ali and the PPP Govt were put in a straightjacket.  One for each of its Cabinet members and members of parliament.  Never have I seen such a set of god-fearing people in all my encounters.

I think that, in the same manner as Exxon had a readymade (bad) contract to shove in the PNC Govt’s hand, so it also was slick enough to put in Pres Ali’s mouth what gave it a ring of authenticity, the equivalent of a chastity belt: sanctity of contract.  Think of that: a national leader with a PhD has a vocabulary that is limited to three words: sanctity of contract.  Must be an imaginary school.  Suspend that a man who swore an oath (“review and renegotiate”) before a countrywide assembly of people, then flatly disowns it. 

Focus on where that same man, national leader, is.  The Exxon contract is bad for Guyana and Guyanese.  But there he leaves it.

Why is he still there at the helm?  Having failed to lead the nation out of a national tragedy with its biggest inheritance, why is he still hanging around?  He has all but confessed to impotency.  So, if powerless on getting the best (or, at least, more) on Guyana’s biggest bonanza, Pres Ali should be decent enough and  leave.  Having surrendered to fear of ruffling Exxon’s feathers, Pres Ali should possess that modicum of self-respect that leads him to admit publicly that he is not the man for the job, and depart.  The crown jewels are held captive, and Pres Ali ties himself into knots, so that he can claim paralysis. 

In the circumstances, of what use is Pres Ali to this country, and the aspirations of its peoples?  Less than nil, is what I think.  Sanctity of contract is bluff and bull.  The president knows it.  Sanctity of contract is a copout and the cowardly way out, and the ruling party and the president know it.  If the president is not man enough to go toe-to-toe with Exxon for better for Guyana, then he is not the man to be where he is. 

Sanctity of contract has reduced him to a figure of farce: a farce wrapped in the flawed and full of the filthy.

It is a widely held standard that if something isn’t broke, then don’t fix it.  Why tamper with what works?  In contrast, if it is bad, then it’s the first project that’s in need of immediate improvement.  Pres Ali agrees that the Exxon contract is bad. 

Few are the Guyanese (or even those in Exxon), who would disagree with how I trash it, spit on it, and urinate on it.  If this is being done to this disaster of a contract, it shouldn’t require much to appreciate where I stand with those who defend it.

The Adviser Who Discovered One-Party Rule

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 The Adviser Who Discovered One-Party Rule


OPINION BY: Hem Kumar September 2026

Lenox Shuman says only the PPP/C is fit to govern Guyana. His own record — and a courtroom accusation he denies — complicate the claim.

Senior Government Adviser on Aviation Lenox Shuman told the Starting Point podcast this week that he does not believe any political party besides the People’s Progressive Party-Civic is currently capable of governing Guyana. He said it of We Invest in Nationhood specifically, accusing the party led by Opposition Leader Azruddin Mohamed of “selfish, narrow interests” and no governing capacity. He extended the same verdict, more gently, to the People’s National Congress Reform, which he described as “but a shadow of its former self.”

Strip away the specific targets and what remains is a broader claim: every party that is not the PPP-C is unfit to govern. In a country where the PPP-C’s own vote share sits well short of unanimous, that is not a critique of WIN or the PNCR. It is an argument that roughly half the electorate backed parties are incapable of governance — which is to say, an argument for indefinite single-party rule, offered as a competence assessment rather than a preference.

A FAMILIAR ARC

Shuman’s own history complicates the position he now holds. He founded the Liberty and Justice Party in 2019, relinquishing his Canadian citizenship to meet the National Assembly’s citizenship requirement, and ran as its presidential candidate in the disputed March 2, 2020 general election. On August 22, 2020 — roughly three weeks after President Irfaan Ali’s government was sworn in — the Office of the President announced Shuman’s appointment as Advisor to the Minister of Public Works on Civil Aviation. Ten days later, on September 1, 2020, he was elected Deputy Speaker of the National Assembly, becoming the first Indigenous Guyanese to hold that post.

The advisory role and the speakership arrived within the same fortnight, at the opening of a government Shuman had just finished running against.

 

For a period after, Shuman used his position to press the same government on Indigenous rights. In December 2021, he called the administration’s consultation process on mining in the Marudi area a “sham,” arguing it lacked genuine input from affected Amerindian communities. He went further, saying the PPP-C showed “no respect for Amerindians” in its handling of resource-extraction decisions affecting hinterland communities — remarks pointed enough that Prime Minister Mark Phillips issued a public rebuttal accusing Shuman of having “departed from facts.”

The same man who once accused the PPP/C of showing “no respect for Amerindians” now says no other party is fit to be trusted with the country at all.

 That is the reversal worth sitting with. The same man who once accused the PPP-C of showing “no respect for Amerindians” now says no other party is fit to be trusted with the country at all. Whatever changed between 2021 and 2026, it was not the PPP-C’s record on the specific grievance Shuman raised at the time; or if it was, that would itself be worth a public accounting rather than a blanket verdict on everyone else’s fitness to govern.

WHAT WAS PUT TO HIM, UNDER OATH

There is a further complication in the record, and it should be handled with precision. In September 2025, Shuman testified as a prosecution witness in the ongoing trial over alleged fraud in the 2020 general elections, describing his intervention during the disputed Region Four vote tabulation at the Ashmin’s Building. Under cross-examination, defence attorney Eusi Anderson put a direct accusation to him: “Your participation as a candidate in the elections was in effect as a proxy for the People’s Progressive Party Civic.” Shuman rejected it without hesitation. “That suggestion would be incorrect,” he said.

Anderson pressed further, suggesting Shuman had received financial or political benefit from the PPP-C in exchange for his role during the five-month post-election impasse. Shuman denied bias, denied financial links, and denied any arrangement. He did concede two narrower points: that since August 2020 he had never publicly supported the APNU+AFC coalition the way he has supported the PPP-C, and that he had never been employed by or received benefits from that coalition.

None of this establishes that Anderson’s accusation was true. It was a defence attorney’s theory, put to a prosecution witness, in a trial where the accused have an evident interest in undermining that witness’s credibility — and Shuman denied it under oath, on the record, without equivocation. The 592 Guardian is not asserting the proxy-candidate theory as fact. But it is a matter of public record that the theory was put, in open court, to the man who now tells the country which parties may be trusted to govern it. Readers assessing his current claim about WIN and the PNCR are entitled to weigh it against everything else in his public record, including this.

THE UNASKED QUESTION

Shuman built his political identity, before 2020, on Indigenous advocacy: chief of Pakuri, three years as vice-chairman of the National Toshaos Council, a campaign that centred on hinterland neglect. If his position — now restored, following a 2024 resignation to launch an airline venture — carries any of that original mandate, the honest test is not rhetorical. It is what has actually reached Indigenous and hinterland communities on his watch: reliable, affordable interior air service; transparent consultation on extraction projects in Amerindian territories; movement on the exact grievances he himself raised in 2021 and later set aside.

Guyana’s opposition parties are fair targets for scrutiny, and neither WIN nor the PNCR is above the kind of accountability this paper applies to the government.

But the claim that only one party is capable of governing is not a scrutiny of the opposition. It is a request that the public stop weighing alternatives at all.

Before that request is granted, the person making it might first answer what his own years inside the corridors of this government’s power has delivered for the people he was once elected, in part, to speak for.

— The Board

The Trajectory Was Always There: Guyana’s El Niño Reckoning Now Has a Global Verification Layer

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CLIMATE & ACCOUNTABILITY

The Trajectory Was Always There: Guyana’s El Niño Reckoning Now Has a Global Verification Layer


 OPINION BY: Hem Kumar, September 2026  

Three months ago, this publication  began warning that Guyana’s agricultural sector was heading into an El Niño season with insufficient public accounting of what that would mean for water, food supply, and prices. That warning was issued when the Hydrometeorological Service’s own outlook was still speaking in the language of probability. It no longer is.

THE VERIFICATION LAYER

Independent of anything Georgetown has said, the international scientific record has moved. The International Research Institute for Climate and Society’s mid-August ensemble forecast found that fifteen separate models now project Pacific sea-surface temperature anomalies in the Niño 3.4 region reaching or exceeding 3.0°C this Northern Hemisphere autumn — a threshold beyond the IRI’s own highest defined intensity category. The Institute’s own language was unusually direct: this is not simply a high-probability El Niño, but an ensemble signal for an event of exceptional intensity, with little indication of a transition away from El Niño before spring 2027.

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center has independently converged on the same picture. Its September 8 diagnostic discussion assigns a 75 percent chance that the October–December 2026 season produces a historic event exceeding every El Niño on record dating back to 1950, and a greater than 90 percent chance of a very strong event persisting through the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter.

The Washington Post’s September 11 reporting captured the on-the-ground translation of those model numbers: central Pacific water temperatures have held at record levels for more than three months straight, and climate scientist Daniel Swain has put the odds at roughly 70 percent that the 2026 event becomes the strongest since instrumental records began in 1950. The World Meteorological Organization has gone further still, stating there is now an exceptionally high likelihood — nearly 100 percent — that El Niño persists through February 2027, a level of certainty WMO says it has never before attached to one of its updates.

What has changed since this publication’s earlier warnings is not the direction of the forecast. It is the confidence interval around it.

None of this is abstract climatology for a country whose entire agricultural and drinking-water infrastructure runs on a system of eighteenth-century conservancies designed around a rainfall pattern that El Niño, by definition, suspends.

WHAT GEORGETOWN IS NOW CONCEDING

Set against that global data, the domestic record is worth reading carefully — not for what it withholds, but for what it has already been forced to admit. In mid-August, Agriculture Minister Zulfikar Mustapha told the Georgetown Chamber of Commerce and Industry that Guyana faces a 97 percent chance of persistent drought-like conditions, and described the country as entering one of its most extreme El Niño periods. He disclosed, in the same appearance, that the country’s established water conservancies are currently at full capacity — a formulation that reads as reassurance but is better read as a ceiling. There is no further buffer above full capacity. The only direction conservancy levels move from here, absent rainfall that the forecast says will not come, is down.

By September 1, the Ministry’s own stakeholder forum was projecting that rainfall between September and November would fall well below normal nationally, with the highest drought risk concentrated in Regions Seven, Eight, and Nine and parts of Four, Five, and Six — a footprint that overlaps directly with the rice, cash-crop, and livestock regions this paper has tracked in its cost-of-living and agricultural-financing coverage. By early September, HGP Nightly News reported the Ministry’s own field engagement with farmers at Lusignan acknowledging the dry spell could extend into the first quarter of 2027, and warning specifically of saltwater intrusion compounding the drought on the coast.

East Demerara Water Conservancy water levels in June 2026

The Ministry has repeatedly paired these disclosures with the same rhetorical move this paper has documented in other contexts this year: acknowledgment of risk immediately qualified by an assurance that the moment for alarm has not yet arrived. Officials briefing the Lusignan meeting said water levels had not yet reached a stage requiring alarm, even as they described a national response plan still being finalized. A separate Ministry-organized forum for climate scientists explicitly said its intent was to inform, not alarm. The country is being told, in effect, to prepare for a historic event without being told what the threshold is for the government’s own concern.

WHAT THE HISTORICAL RECORD SAYS HAPPENS NEXT

Guyana has been here before, and the documentary record from those episodes does not support Minister Mustapha’s confidence that the country is now better equipped to withstand it. During the 2009–10 El Niño drought, the East Demerara Water Conservancy — the reservoir supplying roughly sixty percent of Georgetown’s drinking water and irrigation for tens of thousands of hectares of rice and other crops on the East Coast — fell to 51.65 feet Geodetic Datum by February 2010. That is below 53.5 feet GD, the conservancy’s engineered dead storage level, the point below which the system is not designed to reliably deliver water for irrigation.

The 1997–98 event, still the country’s benchmark drought, produced rainfall 50 percent below 1996 levels, with the August 1997–February 1998 stretch measuring 75 percent below normal. The consequence was not abstract: first-season paddy production came in near 120,000 tons against an earlier forecast of 170,000 tons, a shortfall of roughly fifty thousand tons in the country’s principal food crop, and the President declared a state of national emergency on March 26, 1998.

Event

Rainfall / Water Signal

Documented Outcome

1997–98 El Niño drought

Rainfall 50% below 1996 levels; Aug 1997–Feb 1998 precipitation 75% below normal

State of emergency declared Mar 26, 1998; first-season paddy fell to ~120,000 tonnes against an earlier 170,000-tonne forecast

2009–10 El Niño drought

East Demerara Water Conservancy fell to 51.65 ft GD by Feb 2010

Below the 53.5 ft GD dead storage level — irrigation supply below the engineered safety floor

2026 El Niño (current)

Conservancies at full capacity as of Aug 2026, per Min. Mustapha; Sept–Nov rainfall projected well below normal

Agriculture Ministry cites 97% chance of persistent drought-like conditions; dry spell forecast into Q1 2027

The pattern across both benchmark events is the same: conservancy levels do not decline gradually and recover; they decline through the dry season and only refill once the rains return, which under an El Niño of the intensity now being forecast may not happen on the normal schedule. Reading the current data against that pattern, the fact that conservancies are already reported at full capacity in August — before the September–November dry window that the Ministry’s own forecast identifies as the most severe stretch — is not evidence of resilience. It is the same starting position the country was in ahead of 2009–10, one El Niño season away from a repeat of dead-storage-level breach.

THE LINE TO FOOD PRICES

This is the mechanism by which a Pacific Ocean temperature anomaly becomes a grocery bill in Georgetown. Reduced conservancy water constrains irrigation for rice, vegetables, and cash crops in exactly the regions the Ministry has flagged as highest-risk. Reduced yields compress domestic supply. Compressed domestic supply, in a country still dependent on imports for a meaningful share of its food basket, pushes prices upward at the same time global shipping and input costs are subject to their own El Niño-linked disruption. This publication’s earlier coverage of cost-of-living pressures documented the government’s preference for framing rising prices as a matter of changing consumer behaviour rather than supply-side shocks. An El Niño event now independently verified by NOAA, IRI, and WMO as potentially the strongest on instrumental record removes that framing option.

The shock, when it arrives, will not be a matter of where Guyanese choose to shop.

WHAT REMAINS UNDISCLOSED

This publication’s prior warnings on this subject were issued before the international data reached its current level of certainty. That certainty now exists. What does not yet exist, in any public Ministry or National Drainage and Irrigation Authority disclosure reviewed for this piece, is a stated numerical threshold — a specific conservancy level, expressed in feet GD, comparable to the 53.5 GD dead storage benchmark from 2009-10 — at which the government commits to declaring irrigation rationing, activating emergency reserves, or triggering the kind of national response last invoked in 1998. Nor is there a published estimate of expected crop-yield loss under the current forecast, comparable to the 50,000-tonne paddy shortfall recorded in 1997-98, against which farmers, importers, and consumers could calibrate their own preparation.

This publication is requesting that disclosure directly from the Ministry of Agriculture, the National Drainage and Irrigation Authority, and the Hydrometeorological Service: current conservancy levels in feet GD for the East Demerara, Boerasirie, Tapakuma, and Abary systems; the specific level at which rationing will be triggered at each; and any internal yield-loss modelling conducted against the IRI and NOAA forecasts cited above.

The international scientific community has now told Guyana, with a level of confidence it rarely offers, what is coming. The public record should show that the government has done the same.

— The Board